The two figures below come from recent posts on climate change and AI. Please read them. The squiggles in the first figure illustrate uncertainty in how climate will change due to CO2 emissions. The squiggles in the second figure illustrate uncertainty in the advent of human-level AI. Many are worried about climate change because …
Andrew Gelman offers a historical timeline for the reproducibility crisis in Social Psychology, along with some juicy insight into the one funeral at a time manner in which academic science often advances. OK, that was a pretty detailed timeline. But here’s the point. Almost nothing was happening for a long time, and even after the …
A new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die, and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it. — Max Planck I’m at the annual AAU meeting of research Vice-Presidents, and the “reproducibility crisis” (in some fields) is …
Bad news for psychology — only 39 of 100 published findings were replicated in a recent coordinated effort. Nature | News: An ambitious effort to replicate 100 research findings in psychology ended last week — and the data look worrying. Results posted online on 24 April, which have not yet been peer-reviewed, suggest that key …